The Yara Gambirasio case: Combining evidence in a complex DNA mixture case
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The Yara Gambirasio case : Combining evidence in a complex DNA mixture case. / Graversen, Therese; Mortera, Julia; Lago, Giampietro.
I: Forensic Science International: Genetics, Bind 40, 2019, s. 52-63.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The Yara Gambirasio case
T2 - Combining evidence in a complex DNA mixture case
AU - Graversen, Therese
AU - Mortera, Julia
AU - Lago, Giampietro
PY - 2019
Y1 - 2019
N2 - Here, we illustrate how statistical methods can help extract information from mixed DNA profiles pertaining to an Italian case, referred to by the media as The murder of Yara Gambirasio. We base the analysis on a model for DNA mixtures that takes fully into account the peak heights and possible artefacts, like stutter and dropout that might occur in the DNA amplification process. We show how to combine the evidence from multiple samples and from different marker systems all within the model framework. The combined evidence is used for deconvolution, where the focus is to find likely profiles for the donors to the sample. We also show how a mixture can be used to establish familial relationships between a reference profile and a donor to the mixed DNA sample. We compare results based on a single mixed DNA profile, combination of replicates, combinations of different samples and combinations of different kits. Based on the Yara case, we discuss just a few of the plethora of possibilities of combining evidential information.
AB - Here, we illustrate how statistical methods can help extract information from mixed DNA profiles pertaining to an Italian case, referred to by the media as The murder of Yara Gambirasio. We base the analysis on a model for DNA mixtures that takes fully into account the peak heights and possible artefacts, like stutter and dropout that might occur in the DNA amplification process. We show how to combine the evidence from multiple samples and from different marker systems all within the model framework. The combined evidence is used for deconvolution, where the focus is to find likely profiles for the donors to the sample. We also show how a mixture can be used to establish familial relationships between a reference profile and a donor to the mixed DNA sample. We compare results based on a single mixed DNA profile, combination of replicates, combinations of different samples and combinations of different kits. Based on the Yara case, we discuss just a few of the plethora of possibilities of combining evidential information.
KW - Combining evidence
KW - DNA mixtures
KW - Forensic statistics
KW - Kinship
KW - Likelihood ratio
KW - Mixture deconvolution
KW - Probabilistic genotyping
U2 - 10.1016/j.fsigen.2018.12.010
DO - 10.1016/j.fsigen.2018.12.010
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 30776772
AN - SCOPUS:85061538758
VL - 40
SP - 52
EP - 63
JO - Forensic Science International: Genetics
JF - Forensic Science International: Genetics
SN - 1872-4973
ER -
ID: 241100799