Prediction of serum anti-HSP27 antibody titers changes using a light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) technique

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  • Nasrin Talkhi
  • Mehdi Jabbari Nooghabi
  • Habibollah Esmaily
  • Saba Maleki
  • Mojtaba Hajipoor
  • Gordon A. Ferns
  • Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan

Previous studies have proposed that heat shock proteins 27 (HSP27) and its anti-HSP27 antibody titers may play a crucial role in several diseases including cardiovascular disease. However, available studies has been used simple analytical methods. This study aimed to determine the factors that associate serum anti-HSP27 antibody titers using ensemble machine learning methods and to demonstrate the magnitude and direction of the predictors using PFI and SHAP methods. The study employed Python 3 to apply various machine learning models, including LightGBM, CatBoost, XGBoost, AdaBoost, SVR, MLP, and MLR. The best models were selected using model evaluation metrics during the K-Fold cross-validation strategy. The LightGBM model (with RMSE: 0.1900 ± 0.0124; MAE: 0.1471 ± 0.0044; MAPE: 0.8027 ± 0.064 as the mean ± sd) and the SHAP method revealed that several factors, including pro-oxidant-antioxidant balance (PAB), physical activity level (PAL), platelet distribution width, mid-upper arm circumference, systolic blood pressure, age, red cell distribution width, waist-to-hip ratio, neutrophils to lymphocytes ratio, platelet count, serum glucose, serum cholesterol, red blood cells were associated with anti-HSP27, respectively. The study found that PAB and PAL were strongly associated with serum anti-HSP27 antibody titers, indicating a direct and indirect relationship, respectively. These findings can help improve our understanding of the factors that determine anti-HSP27 antibody titers and their potential role in disease development.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer12775
TidsskriftScientific Reports
Vol/bind13
Udgave nummer1
Antal sider11
ISSN2045-2322
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2023

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
The collection of clinical data was financially supported by Mashhad University of Medical Sciences.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, Springer Nature Limited.

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