Local Independence Testing for Point Processes

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningfagfællebedømt

Constraint-based causal structure learning for point processes require empirical tests of local independence. Existing tests require strong model assumptions, e.g., that the true data generating model is a Hawkes process with no latent confounders. Even when restricting attention to Hawkes processes, latent confounders are a major technical difficulty because a marginalized process will generally not be a Hawkes process itself. We introduce an expansion similar to Volterra expansions as a tool to represent marginalized intensities. Our main theoretical result is that such expansions can approximate the true marginalized intensity arbitrarily well. Based on this, we propose a test of local independence and investigate its properties in real and simulated data.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftIEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems
Sider (fra-til)1-12
Antal sider12
ISSN2162-237X
DOI
StatusE-pub ahead of print - 2024

Bibliografisk note

Publisher Copyright:
IEEE

ID: 384911241