Identifiability of Sparse Causal Effects using Instrumental Variables

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Exogenous heterogeneity, for example, in the form of instrumental variables can help us learn a system's underlying causal structure and predict the outcome of unseen intervention experiments. In this paper, we consider linear models in which the causal effect from covariates X on a response Y is sparse. We provide conditions under which the causal coefficient becomes identifiable from the observed distribution. These conditions can be satisfied even if the number of instruments is as small as the number of causal parents. We also develop graphical criteria under which identifiability holds with probability one if the edge coefficients are sampled randomly from a distribution that is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure and Y is childless. As an estimator, we propose spaceIV and prove that it consistently estimates the causal effect if the model is identifiable and evaluate its performance on simulated data. If identifiability does not hold, we show that it may still be possible to recover a subset of the causal parents.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TitelProceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Antal sider10
ForlagPMLR
Publikationsdato2022
Sider1613-1622
StatusUdgivet - 2022
Begivenhed38th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, UAI 2022 - Eindhoven, Holland
Varighed: 1 aug. 20225 aug. 2022

Konference

Konference38th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, UAI 2022
LandHolland
ByEindhoven
Periode01/08/202205/08/2022
NavnProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Vol/bind180
ISSN2640-3498

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
NP was supported by a research grant (0069071) from Novo Nordisk Fonden. JP was supported by a research grant (18968) from VILLUM FONDEN.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 UAI. All Rights Reserved.

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