Decomposing LIBOR in transition: evidence from the futures markets

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Applying historical data from the USD LIBOR transition period, we estimate a joint model for SOFR, Federal Funds, and Eurodollar futures rates as well as spot USD LIBOR and term repo rates. The framework endogenously models basis spreads between each of the benchmark rates and allows for the decomposition of spreads. Modelling the LIBOR-OIS spread as credit and funding-liquidity roll-over risk, we find that the spike in the LIBOR-OIS spread during the onset of COVID-19 was mainly due to credit risk, while on average credit and funding-liquidity risk contribute equally to the spread.

Original languageEnglish
JournalQuantitative Finance
Volume23
Issue number6
Pages (from-to)959-978
Number of pages20
ISSN1469-7688
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

    Research areas

  • Federal funds rate, Futures, LIBOR, Roll-over risk, SOFR

ID: 358722346