Portfolio Theory and Betting Against Beta
Specialeforsvar ved Iker Gonzalez Crespo
Titel: Portfolio Theory and Betting Against Beta
Resume:
The main goal of this thesis is the study of the paper "Betting Against Beta" (2014). In the first chapter we define the financial market and basic definitions we are going to work with the rest of the paper. During Chaper 1, we introduce the Mean/Variance analysis (Markowitz model), and this will be the support of all our research, since to choose a portfolio we only focus on mean and variance. Taking into account this Markowitz model, and with the aim to minimize the portfolio's variance for a fixed expected return, we calculate the efficient frontier for two financial situations: the case where we deal with n risky assets and the situation with n+1 assets (composed of n risky assets and a risk-free asset). Later, in Chapter 2, we talk about the economic equilibrium model CAPM and the statistical Single-Index model. Firstly we define them and set the assumptions they need to fulfil. Afterwards, we claim the relation between these two models and build 4 efficient statistical tests in order to test this relation. In Chapter 3 we try to get empirical evidence of what we theoretically claimed in previous chapters, taking the financial data from Keneth R. French homepage and S\&P 500 as market index for robustness tests from "Open knowledge" homepage. Finally, holding all this previous theory as setup, we talk about "Betting Against Beta" (2014). Andrea Frazzini and Lasse H. Pedersen build a constrained model where some investors can use leverage, others can use it but keeping some constraints and others cannot use it at all. Since many investors face leverage constraints and want to maximize their expected wealth, they prefer to invest their money in high-beta stocks even if they provide lower returns, because less risky assets require the use of leverage. Therefore, to get a profit from this market situation, authors create the "Betting Against Beta"-factor. This strategy consists in buying low-beta (less risky) stocks and sell high-beta (more risky) stocks, creating a low-beta portfolio and a high-beta portfolio. That is, BAB factor is a portfolio that is long low-beta portfolio and shorts high-beta portfolio. Authors gather all their findings in 5 propositions giving empirical evidence. We are going through these 5 propositions and use our financial datasets to test Proposition 1 and Proposition 2, comparing the BAB-factor results we come out with and the BAB-factor from Lasse H. Pedersen's homepage \cite{Lasse_data}. Testing Proposition 1 we conclude that it does not fulfil with our industry portfolios dataset. In order to build our BAB-factors we research among many methods to split our stocks into low-portfolio or high-portfolio. The first method we use is the "median" method. In this case, the low-beta portfolio will be comprised of all stocks with a beta below the stocks' beta median and the high-beta portfolio will be comprised of all stocks with the beta above or equal to the stocks' beta median. As a robustness test for Proposition 2, we will use four different ways to split our stocks into these two portfolios. The first method will be to take the low-beta portfolio as the stock that holds the minimum beta and the high-beta portfolio as the stock that holds the maximum beta. The second will be taking the two minimum and maximum beta values and the third method taking the three minimum and maximum beta values. The last method consist in choosing the low-beta portfolio as all the stocks whose beta is lower than one and choosing the high-beta portfolio as all the stocks whose beta is larger than one. We claim that for all our BAB-factors (depending on the method) Proposition 2 holds. To conclude, we mention some other works that are related and have developed another researchs basing on this betting against beta strategy. |
Vejleder: Rolf Poulsen
Censor: Bjarne Astrup Jensen, CBS