How does the volatility of volatility depend on volatility?

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Documents

We investigate the state dependence of the variance of the instantaneous variance of the S&P 500 index empirically. Time-series analysis of realized variance over a 20-year period shows strong evidence of an elasticity of variance of the variance parameter close to that of a log-normal model, albeit with an empirical autocorrelation function that one-factor diffusion models fail to capture at horizons above a few weeks. When studying option market behavior (in-sample pricing as well as out-of-sample pricing and hedging over the period 2004–2019), messages are mixed, but systematic, model-wise. The log-normal but drift-free SABR (stochastic-alpha-beta-rho) model performs best for short-term options (times-to-expiry of three months and below), the Heston model—in which variance is stationary but not log-normal—is superior for long-term options, and a mixture of the two models does not lead to improvements.

Original languageEnglish
Article number59
JournalRisks
Volume8
Issue number2
Pages (from-to)1-18
ISSN2227-9091
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020

    Research areas

  • Elasticity of variance of variance, Heston, SABR, Stochastic volatility

Number of downloads are based on statistics from Google Scholar and www.ku.dk


No data available

ID: 243061877