Spectral tail processes and max-stable approximations of multivariate regularly varying time series

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  • Anja Janßen
A regularly varying time series as introduced in Basrak and Segers (2009) is a (multivariate) time series such that all finite dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. The extremal behavior of such a process can then be described by the index of regular variation and the so-called spectral tail process, which is the limiting distribution of the rescaled process, given an extreme event at time 0. As shown in Basrak and Segers (2009), the stationarity of the underlying time series implies a certain structure of the spectral tail process, informally known as the "time change formula". In this article, we show that on the other hand, every process which satisfies this property is in fact the spectral tail process of an underlying stationary max-stable process. The spectral tail process and the corresponding max-stable process then provide two complementary views on the extremal behavior of a multivariate regularly varying stationary time series.
Original languageEnglish
JournalStochastic Processes and Their Applications
Volume129
Issue number6
Pages (from-to)1993-2009
ISSN0304-4149
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019

    Research areas

  • Max-stable processes, Regularly varying time series, Spectral tail process, Stationary processes

ID: 202239716