Rare event analysis for minimum Hellinger distance estimators via large deviation theory

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Hellinger distance has been widely used to derive objective functions that are alternatives to maximum likelihood methods. While the asymptotic distributions of these estimators have been well investigated, the probabilities of rare events induced by them are largely unknown. In this article, we analyze these rare event probabilities using large deviation theory under a potential model misspecification, in both one and higher dimensions. We show that these probabilities decay exponentially, characterizing their decay via a \rate function," which is expressed as a convex conjugate of a limiting cumulant generating function. In the analysis of the lower bound, in particular, certain geometric considerations arise which facilitate an explicit representation, also in the case when the limiting generating function is non-differentiable. Our analysis also involves the modulus of continuity properties
of the affinity, which may be of independent interest.
Original languageEnglish
Article number386
JournalEntropy
Volume23
Issue number4
Number of pages20
ISSN1099-4300
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021

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