Prediction-based estimation for diffusion models with high-frequency data

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This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high-frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are observations of a diffusion process at n equidistant time points Δni, and the asymptotic scenario is Δn→0 and nΔn→∞. For useful and tractable classes of prediction-based estimating functions, existence of a consistent estimator is proved under standard weak regularity conditions on the diffusion process and the estimating function. Asymptotic normality of the estimator is established under the additional rate condition nΔ3n→0. The prediction-based estimating functions are approximate martingale estimating functions to a smaller order than what has previously been studied, and new non-standard asymptotic theory is needed. A Monte Carlo method for calculating the asymptotic variance of the estimators is proposed.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJapanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Volume4
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)483-511
ISSN2520-8764
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021

    Research areas

  • Diffusion process, High-frequency data, Infinitesimal generator, Potential operator, Parametric inference, Prediction-based estimating function, <mml, math><mml, mi>rho</mml, mi></mml, math>, documentclass[12pt]{minimal}, usepackage{amsmath}, usepackage{wasysym}, usepackage{amsfonts}, usepackage{amssymb}, usepackage{amsbsy}, usepackage{mathrsfs}, usepackage{upgreek}, setlength{, oddsidemargin}{-69pt}, begin{document}$$, rho$$, end{document}<inline-graphic xlink, href="42081_2020_103_Article_IEq5, gif", >-mixing

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